Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000613 0.000698 0.000788 0.000889 0.001002 0.001121 0.001258
2025-11-16 0.000463 0.000576 0.000705 0.000861 0.001043 0.001248 0.001496
2025-11-23 0.000380 0.000504 0.000651 0.000838 0.001065 0.001330 0.001661
2025-11-30 0.000326 0.000458 0.000621 0.000834 0.001103 0.001427 0.001842
2025-12-07 0.000286 0.000422 0.000597 0.000834 0.001141 0.001520 0.002017
2025-12-14 0.000250 0.000387 0.000569 0.000824 0.001164 0.001592 0.002167
2025-12-21 0.000218 0.000354 0.000542 0.000811 0.001178 0.001652 0.002300
2025-12-28 0.000203 0.000343 0.000542 0.000834 0.001240 0.001774 0.002515
2026-01-04 0.000187 0.000329 0.000536 0.000847 0.001289 0.001879 0.002709
2026-01-11 0.000168 0.000307 0.000517 0.000840 0.001308 0.001943 0.002850
2026-01-18 0.000149 0.000286 0.000497 0.000829 0.001320 0.001998 0.002978
2026-01-25 0.000138 0.000274 0.000489 0.000836 0.001358 0.002088 0.003156
2026-02-01 0.000126 0.000260 0.000478 0.000837 0.001387 0.002166 0.003322
2026-02-08 0.000109 0.000236 0.000449 0.000809 0.001371 0.002182 0.003398
2026-02-15 0.000095 0.000216 0.000426 0.000788 0.001363 0.002206 0.003487
2026-02-22 0.000086 0.000204 0.000414 0.000784 0.001382 0.002269 0.003633
2026-03-01 0.000079 0.000194 0.000405 0.000784 0.001406 0.002340 0.003790
2026-03-08 0.000071 0.000182 0.000391 0.000775 0.001415 0.002388 0.003916
2026-03-15 0.000063 0.000170 0.000376 0.000762 0.001417 0.002426 0.004025
2026-03-22 0.000061 0.000168 0.000380 0.000784 0.001476 0.002551 0.004267
2026-03-29 0.000057 0.000164 0.000380 0.000796 0.001520 0.002654 0.004479
2026-04-05 0.000052 0.000155 0.000369 0.000789 0.001531 0.002706 0.004613
2026-04-12 0.000046 0.000145 0.000356 0.000779 0.001535 0.002747 0.004731